Dear cj & rn, I hesitate to indulge your patience once again, but feedback is needed on this latest draft of the book's Introduction. I've been discussing the book project with a few publishers, and now it's time to send a book-proposal package to a larger number of publishers. If you can help improve the draft, that would be most appreciated. Some paragraphs will look familiar, but the bulk of the text is new, and reflects your earlier input. The sad fact is that my funds are running low, bringing my own end-of-millenium crisis. I'd really like to get the book under contract and be able to complete it before it become necessary to take drastic action (move back to the states? work again in the computer industry?) (:<) thanks for your ongoing help, rkm ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Achieving a Livable World - globalization and the revolutionary imperative - (draft 2) Copyright 1998 by Richard K. Moore comments to: •••@••.••• ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Introduction [18 Nov 98 - 2840 words] ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Globalization: a headlong rush into a failed past ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 1998 marked the fiftieth anniversary of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), the first of the global free-trade agreements. In Geneva, at a UN conference celebrating this anniversary, US President Bill Clinton opened his speech with the statement, "Globalization is not a policy choice; it is a fact". This statement suggests a number of questions: What is globalization? Where did it come from? Where is it heading? Why does the most powerful leader in the world say he has no choice about it? Is it really inevitable, or are there alternatives? If so, what are they, how can they be pursued, and whose responsibility is it to pursue them? This book is an investigation into these questions. At the heart of globalization is the doctrine of "free trade" and a belief in the virtue of "market forces". This same philosophy, with very nearly the same rhetoric, was dominant in the nineteenth century, when it went under the name "laissez-faire capitalism". During the Irish Famine in the 1840's, while hundreds of thousands were starving, Britain refused on _principle to provide assistance: such assistance would interfere, said the British Government, with market forces.(1) Today, as disease and famine infest the third-world, market forces are offered once again by the West as the prescribed solution. Laissez-faire policies reflect the political ascendency of capitalist interests. "Laissez faire" is French for "leave alone", and under this philosophy governments tend to "leave the economy alone" to be run by private capital. What this inevitably means in practice is that economic power becomes concentrated in ultra-large corporations and banks. The late nineteenth century is sometimes referred to the "robber baron" era, and then, as now, capitalist interests dominated government policy in leading Western nations(2). It was a time of child-labor exploitation, dire poverty, boom-and-bust economic cycles, powerful monopolies, and widespread government corruption. John D. Rockefeller, founder of Standard Oil and a typical "robber baron" industrialist, bragged about how many state Governors he had "in his pocket". The robber-baron era was a peak of capitalist political power in the West. A grass-roots political counter-movement arose in the form of local and international labor organizations, socialist movements, and reform campaigns.(3). Western governments were gradually forced to respond to these mass movements. The ascendency of capitalist political power was undermined, and over time Western governments came to represent a balance of popular and corporate interests. Anti-trust legislation, regulation of industry and banking, social-welfare programs, labor-rights legislation -- these all arose during the twentieth century out of popular opposition to the abuses of capitalism and corporate power. In America there was the "New Deal" and a "Social Security" pension program. Economic policies in the postwar (post-1945) era brought high employment and widespread prosperity. In Britain and Europe there were extensive postwar social programs, including free health care, housing assistance, and government operation of transport and utilities. Western prosperity seemed to climb ever-upward, and the prosperity was being shared by large segments of the population. In the postwar era it seemed that capitalist and popular interests had achieved a mutually beneficial political arrangement in the West. But at the crest of Western popular prosperity and well being, in the sixties and seventies, massive movements arose against what was then called "the establishment". The civil-rights, anti-war, and environmental movements gained strength and achieved political potency. US President Nixon was forced to resign in disgrace, partly because of an incident at Watergate, but mostly because of years of pent-up popular disgust at his policies. The seventies were a time of what Americans call "liberal" power, with progressive Democrats in control in Washington, a Freedom of Information Act stripping away state secrecy, and an Environmental Protection Agency curbing corporate abuses. The Governor of the most populous state, California's Jerry Brown, talked about an "era of limits", and an end to unrestrained growth. Similar forces were afoot in Europe and Britain. Prosperous Western populations were asserting themselves on a broad front, apparently not satisfied with their postwar economic gains. The saying, "Give them an inch and they take a mile", must have occurred to many leaders in the corporate community. Then in 1980, with the successful campaigns of Ronald Reagan in the US, and Margaret Thatcher in Britain, a momentous counter-revolution was launched, a bold resurgence of laissez-faire ideology. This well-orchestrated replay of the robber-baron era was called a conservative revolution in the US, while in Europe it was called the neoliberal revolution. The revolution spread to the rest of the West, and beyond. It has now become the heart of the globalization project, and the shared agenda of all leading Western political parties. Suddenly, in an orwellian switch of rhetoric, it was government officials themselves who talked about government being "too big". The history of the previous century was forgotten, along with the reasons why social programs and regulation had been introduced in the first place. All the credit for existing prosperity was given to capitalism, now referred to fondly as "the efficient private sector". The regulation and social reforms which had made capitalism bearable were re-defined as "government interference". "Reform" came to mean the dismantlement of reform. The results of this revolution could not have been more predictable -- as reforms were removed, the old abuses reappeared. It's as if a time machine had simply taken us back to the nineteenth century, only on a global and more destructive scale. Once again corporate power reigns supreme, child labor is making goods we buy in our stores, labor rights are being undermined, unemployment is considered "good for the economy", wages are declining, once-strong national economies are collapsing, and corporate profits are skyrocketing. Commerce, trade, and finance are being monopolized on a global scale, with ownership in each business segment being concentrated into the hands of a few transnational corporations (TNC's). Corruption of government -- and of public debate -- has become so thorough that officials no longer try to hide the fact that their primary agenda is the care and nurturing of corporate profits. Modern globalization also brings new problems that weren't part of the scene in the nineteenth century. The size of modern populations and the ravages of unrestrained development are combining to destroy the life-systems of the Earth itself. Ozone depletion, global warming, destruction of topsoils and rainforests, pollution of air and water -- these trends threaten the survival of life on Earth and they are being accelerated by globalization. In addition, the various "free-trade" treaties such as GATT and NAFTA are transferring sovereignty to corporate-controlled commissions such as the World Trade Organization (WTO). As nations are thus disempowered, democracy itself becomes irrelevant. Why was this historic revolution launched in 1980, in particular? Was it a political reaction to the ungrateful uprisings of the sixties? Was it a necessary response to changing global conditions? Why have leading Western governments abandoned widespread prosperity as a national goal, in fact if not in principle? Why are government leaders so eager to sign away sovereignty to faceless international commissions? What happened to the fervent nationalism that seemed to characterize wealthy interests prior to 1945? Why are we not seeing popular opposition to capitalism on the scale that arose in the robber-baron era? These questions will be investigated in Part I of this book. The goal of Part I is not to criticize capitalism, corporate power, or globalization. There are many excellent critiques already available on bookstore shelves (and in this book's bibliography). The subtitle of Part I is "understanding the dynamics of today's world", and the emphasis is on understanding the political and economic forces that are at the root of globalization. Indeed the picture that emerges is a dismal one -- that cannot be avoided -- but the aim is to understand why, not to bemoan our fate nor to identify capitalism as an enemy to blame. The goal of Part I is to _empower. By understanding the root causes of globalization, and by seeing where the globalization process is taking us, a perspective is gained which reveals a glimmer of hope for humanity. Globalization brings fundamental re-alignments of political forces, and this creates the conditions for a new kind of international political movement. There is a window of opportunity in which Western populations can rise up together, in each of their nations, and assert their democratic sovereignties. Western democracies have, so far in history, represented not the ascendency of popular sovereignty, but rather a particular political compromise. This compromise -- an unwritten social contract -- has allowed wealthy elites to set overall economic policy while granting to Western populations a number of privileges and benefits. Globalization brings the abandonment of the social contract, and this "betrayal" of Western populations, long staunch allies of the capitalist system, has created a new political landscape in the West. This new landscape creates the opportunity for a broad-based, grass-roots movement that bridges the partisan divisions which have long plagued the Western democratic process. In every crisis, according at least to the Chinese symbol for crisis, there is both danger and opportunity. Globalization is a crisis and it brings a clear-and-present danger to humanity. The opportunity is for people everywhere, from all walks of life, to wake up to the dire threat that faces them, and to do something about it. This is what is meant by the revolutionary imperative. How this investigation is structured ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ At a recent workshop on political activism, I learned about a "change formula" which helps clarify how social change occurs. The formula states that the force for change is related to _discomfort level, _vision, and available _means. If people are _comfortable with existing arrangements, they are unlikely to seek or favor change. Even if they are very uncomfortable, they won't usually be eager for change unless they share a _vision of something better. And even then, with both discomfort and vision, little progress can be made until a practical _means has been identified by which the vision can be realized. Part I of this book addresses the issue of _discomfort. Globalization represents perhaps the gravest danger ever to face humanity. This turns out to be a relatively straightforward case to make. The evidence is abundant all around us, and only a steady diet of corporate propaganda and official doubletalk keeps so many people from recognizing the evidence for what it is. Besides the evidence presented here, a bibliography is provided listing several outstanding books which have looked in more detail at the various aspects of globalization and corporate power. Part II seeks to articulate an appropriate _vision for a livable world. This turns out to be an investigation of a quite different kind. While understanding the threat of globalization is a matter of interpreting available facts, identifying an appropriate vision calls for a consideration of system dynamics. Politics, economics, the environment, and world order are all _systems. In a livable world, these systems need to work together in harmony and they need to be stable and robust. The notion of livability leads naturally to the identification of certain fundamental principles, or _requirements for a livable world system. By considering these requirements, along with economic and political forces, the necessary architecture for a livable world can be identified. There are, it turns out, not that many degrees of freedom. That is to say, if we really want to achieve a livable world, we don't have all that much choice about what it will look like -- the problem comes with a lot of built in constraints. Part II will be investigating questions like these: What does democracy mean, really? What would a functioning democratic process look like? What is sustainability, and is it feasible? What would its consequences be? How can it be achieved and managed? How could different societies be expected to interact if they were dedicated to the principles of democracy and sustainability? What does systems analysis tell us about a stable world order? Is a world government a good idea, or would it be inherently unstable? Are there alternatives that promise greater stability? Part III seeks to outline the _means by which global transformation can be accomplished. We will investigate questions like these: What can be learned from the experience of previous social movements? How can an effective, democratic movement be created across a broad social front? How can it remain democratic and not be captured by power-seeking, would-be "leaders"? How can it be democratic and also achieve movement-wide unity? How can the established Western regimes be expected to respond? What tactics have they used in the past to suppress popular movements? What is the importance of non-violence, as a movement strategy? Many previous movements have failed at the very point of victory. The victory of the French Revolution, for example, led to bloody chaos while the Russian Revolution led to dictatorship. These movements managed to defeat the old regimes, but when victory was won a power vacuum was created, and into it leapt those hungry for power. A _democratic, _locally-based, _non-violent movement can be not only the means of achieving victory, but it can also become the basis for democracy in the new world. If the movement models itself on its own vision for a livable world, then as it develops it becomes the society it seeks. Thus no power vacuum is created, and the transition can be smooth to livable, democratic societies. The prospects for success ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ There remains a fundamental question: Is there any reason to believe that a global grass-roots movement is possible or likely in current circumstances? Are historical conditions right for such a movement to arise? Globalization itself, I suggest, has created, and is creating, conditions which are favorable to the development of such a movement. To begin with, globalization is creating the economic conditions for massive unrest and discomfort. In addition, the development of a functioning global society is creating a cultural vacuum. Our cultures, our political traditions, and our identities are oriented around nations as the largest unit of society. As economics and politics operate more and more globally, we are set adrift as to who we are, what society we are part of, and what the values and rules of our societies are. Into this vacuum are rushing fundamentalist religions, racist nationalistic movements, neo-fascist movements, messianic cults, and various other radical ideologies and agendas. In this respect we can compare current conditions to those of the Roman Empire. The administration and trading systems that Rome established connected diverse cultures into a larger society. None of the existing religions matched the scale of the new society, and evangelistic religions such as Mithraism and Christianity rushed in to fill the vacuum. The gods offered by the Romans themselves, apparently, didn't have sufficient appeal. The only "god" offered by today's global regime is market forces, supported by its trinity of growth, deregulation, and free-trade. This "religion" is hardly satisfying as the foundation of global culture, and there is little wonder people everywhere are searching for new cultural anchors, or reaching back nostalgically for old ones. US Congressman Newt Gingrich comes to mind, with his sentimental praise of an idealized Main Street America. The prospects for democracy are endangered during such a time of cultural instability, given the comfort many find in easy answers and repressive fundamentalist ideologies. But in a time of searching, enlightened ideas may also find an audience. Cultural instability provides a favorable opportunity for mass movements, of whatever variety. Of particular significance is globalization's abandonment of traditional Western privileges. The relative privilege of Western populations has traditionally provided a mass constituency in support of the established capitalist system. As more and more Westerners come to realize that globalization is betraying this unwritten social contract, many of them are looking for new solutions. This creates an opportunity for mass political movements in the very heart of the beast -- the Western fortress of global capitalism. As the millennium approaches, I believe it is fair to say that anxiety regarding global instability and social deterioration is at a very high level worldwide. Old systems really are falling apart, and the new global system has not managed to instill confidence or cultural identity. The objective conditions, I suggest, are almost ideally favorable for mass movements. The challenge is for responsible people of good will everywhere to rise up and make use of this opportunity. The window of opportunity is closing fast, as nations are being disempowered by "free trade" treaties, and popular will is being made rapidly irrelevant. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- (1) Robert Kee, "Ireland, A History", Abacus, London, 1982, pp. 82-85. (2) Howard Zinn, "A Peoples History of the United States", Harper Colphon Books, New York, 1980, Chapter 11, "Robber Barons and Rebels", pp. 247-289. [European reference to be added] (3) Zinn, Chapter 13, "The Socialist Challenge", pp. 314-349. 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